博士，中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所研究员、区域环境与生态信息研究室主任、博士生导师。中国科学院大学资源与环境学院岗位教授。国内外主流期刊《Agric For Meteorol》、《Agricultural Systems》、《European Journal of Agronomy》、《Climate Research》、《气象学报》、《地理学报》英文版、《中国农业气象》等期刊编委。1999年于中国科学院生态环境研究中心获生态学博士学位。2001-2008年在日本农业环境技术研究所和筑波大学任特别研究员。
研究领域和研究方向：
主要研究领域为全球变化生态学、农业生态气象学与智慧农业理论技术。长期致力于农业信息遥感监测和模型模拟；农业生态系统对全球变化响应、适应与固碳减排；农业水土资源演变、资源高效利用、种植制度优化、绿色低碳转型与粮食安全研究。
近期科研进展：
系统揭示了我国农业生产过程对气候变化和气候极端的响应和适应的事实、机理、敏感性和时空格局。自主研发了MCWLA农业系统模型和新一代气候变化影响评价模型系统“区域农业对气候变化响应和适应的超集合预测系统”。研发了农情信息监测、产量早期预报、灾害风险评估及保险费率厘定系统。构建了基于基因的作物生理生态模型，助力分子标记辅助育种和生物设计育种。研发了农业系统碳水足迹核算系统与农业种植制度多目标优化决策支持系统。在包括Nature子刊、Global Change Biology、等国际知名期刊发表论文300余篇，总引2.6万次。授权国家专利20余项。连续入选爱思唯尔“中国高被引学者”，入选“气候变化研究领域全球最具影响力的1000位科学家名单”。
代表论著：
1. Chen Y., Tao, F.*. 2025. Improving an agroecosystem model to better simulate crop-soil interactions and N2O emissions. Agric For Meteorol, 367, 110522.
2. Cao, J., et al. 2025. Mapping global yields of four major crops at 5-minute resolution from 1982 to 2015 using multi-source data and machine learning. Sci Data 12, 357.
3. Han, J., et al. 2024. Threat of low-frequency high-intensity floods to global cropland and crop yields. Nat Sustain 7, 994–1006.
4. Wang Y., Tao F*, Chen Y., Yin, L. 2024. Climate mitigation potential and economic costs of natural climate solutions for main cropping systems across China, Agric Syst, 218, 103963.
5. Wang Y., Tao F*, Chen Y., Yin, L. 2024. Mapping the spatiotemporal patterns of tillage practices across Chinese croplands with Google Earth Engine, Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 216, 108509.
6. Zhou H, Tao F*, et al. 2024. Climate change reduces agricultural total factor productivity in major agricultural production areas of China even with continuously increasing agricultural inputs, Agric For Meteorol, 349, 109953.
7. Li Y., Tao F.*, et al. 2023. Traits and the associated loci in wheat favoring extreme high temperature tolerance. Eur J Agron, 145, 126776.
8. Li, Y., Tao, F., et al. 2023. Linking genetic markers with an eco-physiological model to pyramid favourable alleles and design wheat ideotypes. Plant, Cell & Environment, 46, 780– 795.
9. Yin, L., Tao F.*, et al. 2023. Novel cropping-system strategies in China can increase plant protein with higher economic value but lower greenhouse gas emissions and water use, One Earth, 6(5), 560-572.
10. Zhai, R., Tao, F*, Lall, U., Elliott, J. 2021. Africa would need to import more maize in the future even under 1.5°C warming scenario. Earth's Future, 9(1), e2020EF001574.
11. Li, Y, Hou, R, Tao, F*. 2021. Wheat morpho-physiological traits and radiation use efficiency under interactive effects of warming and tillage management. Plant Cell Environ. 2020, 1–16.
12. Li, Y., Hou, R., Tao F.*. 2020. Interactive effects of different warming levels and tillage managements on winter wheat growth, physiological processes, grain yield and quality in the North China Plain. Agric Ecosyst Environ, 295, 106923.
13. Xin, Y., Tao, F.*. 2020. Developing climate-smart agricultural systems in the North China Plain. Agric Ecosyst Environ 291, 106791.
14. Zhang, Z., Li, Z., Chen, Y., Zhang, L., Tao, F.* 2020. Improving regional wheat yields estimations by Multi-Step-Assimilating of a Crop Model with Multi-source Data. Agric For Meteorol, 290, 107993.
15. Chen Y., Zhang Z., Tao F*. 2018. Improving regional winter wheat yield estimation through assimilation of phenology and leaf area index from remote sensing data. Eur J Agron, 101, 163-173.
16. Chen Y., Zhang Z., Tao F.* 2018. Impacts of climate change and climate extremes on major crops productivity in China at a global warming of 1.5 and 2.0° C. Earth System Dynamics 9 (2), 543-562.
17. Tao, F.*, Feng, Z., Tang, H., Chen, Y., Kobayashi, K. 2017. Effects of climate change, CO2 and O3 on wheat productivity in Eastern China, singly and in combination. Atmospheric Environment, 153, 182-193.
18. Tao, F.*, Zhang, S., Zhang, Z., Rotter, R.P. 2015. Temporal and spatial changes of maize yield potentials and yield gaps in the past three decades in China, Agric Ecosyst Environ, 208, 12-20.
19. Tao F.*, Zhang, S., et al. 2014. Maize growing duration was prolonged across China in the past three decades under the combined effects of temperature, agronomic management, and cultivar shift. Global Change Biology, 20, 3686-3699.
20. Tao F.*, et al., 2014. Responses of wheat growth and yield to climate change in different climate zones of China, 1981-2009. Agric For Meteorol 189–190, 91–104.
21. Xiao D, Tao F*, 2014. Contributions of cultivars, management and climate change to winter wheat yield in the North China Plain in the past three decades. Eur. J. Agron. 52, 112-122
22. Tao, F.*, et al. 2013. Single rice growth period was prolonged by cultivars shifts but yield was damaged by climate change during 1981-2009 in China, and late rice was just opposite. Global Change Biology. 19, 3200–3209.
23. Tao F.*, Zhang Z. 2013. Climate Change, High Temperature Stress, Rice Productivity and Water Use in Eastern China: A New Super-ensemble-based Probabilistic Projection. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 2013, 52, 531–551.
24. Tao F.*, Z Zhang. 2013. Climate change, wheat productivity and water use in the North China Plain: A new super-ensemble-based probabilistic projection. Agric For Meteorol, 170，146-166.
25. Zhang S, Tao F.*. 2013. Modeling the response of rice phenology to climate change and variability in different climatic zones: Comparisons of five models. Eur J Agron, 45, 167-176.
26. Tao F*, Zhang S, Zhang Z. 2012. Spatiotemporal changes of wheat phenology in China under the effects of temperature, day length and cultivar thermal characteristics. Eur J Agron, 43, 201-212.
27. Tao F*, Zhang Z. 2010. Adaptation of maize production to climate change in North China Plain: Quantify the relative contributions of adaptation options. Eur J Agron, 33, 103-116.
28. Tao, F*, Zhang Z., Liu J. 2009. Modeling the Impacts of Weather and Climate Variability on Crop Productivity over a Large Area: A New Super-ensemble-based Probabilistic Projection. Agric For Meteorol, 149, 1266–127.
29. Tao, F*, Yokozawa M., Zhang Z. 2009. Modeling the Impacts of Weather and Climate Variability on Crop Productivity over a Large Area: A New Process-based Model Development, Optimization, and Uncertainties Analysis. Agric For Meteorol, 149, 831–850.
30. Tao, F*, Y. Hayashi, M. Yokozawa, Z. Zhang, T. Sakamoto. 2008. Global Warming, Rice Production and Water Use in China: Developing a Probabilistic Assessment. Agric For Meteorol, 148, 94–110.
招生专业和招生方向：
招生专业: 生态学
招生方向: 全球变化生态学；全球变化、农业生态过程与粮食安全；农业遥感与农业信息学；智慧农业
联系方式:
北京市朝阳区大屯路甲11号
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
邮编：100101
Email: taofl@igsnrr.ac.cn
电话：010-64888269
更新日期：2025年7月16日
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